Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.220941 0.235442 0.250691 0.267967 0.287058 0.307574 0.331379
2025-03-23 0.195028 0.217211 0.242137 0.272479 0.308776 0.351270 0.405493
2025-03-30 0.173231 0.199035 0.229446 0.268505 0.318214 0.380632 0.467106
2025-04-06 0.155207 0.182372 0.215521 0.259852 0.319054 0.397722 0.514565
2025-04-13 0.141231 0.168859 0.203507 0.251366 0.317862 0.410568 0.556987
2025-04-20 0.133935 0.162868 0.200139 0.253317 0.330270 0.443137 0.633842
2025-04-27 0.128740 0.158995 0.198948 0.257720 0.346170 0.482607 0.729814
2025-05-04 0.123081 0.153968 0.195607 0.258468 0.356342 0.514255 0.819524
2025-05-11 0.117283 0.148288 0.190818 0.256455 0.361704 0.538424 0.901049
2025-05-18 0.111897 0.142800 0.185840 0.253579 0.365126 0.559444 0.981564
2025-05-25 0.106232 0.136578 0.179358 0.247760 0.362878 0.569678 1.041516
2025-06-01 0.101767 0.131810 0.174685 0.244351 0.364253 0.586701 1.121870
2025-06-08 0.097494 0.127215 0.170154 0.241068 0.365961 0.605614 1.216158
2025-06-15 0.095321 0.125583 0.170013 0.244988 0.381177 0.654905 1.411835
2025-06-22 0.091558 0.121412 0.165721 0.241607 0.382449 0.675022 1.534789
2025-06-29 0.087154 0.116086 0.159348 0.234198 0.375216 0.675079 1.596276
2025-07-06 0.083091 0.111108 0.153281 0.226910 0.367509 0.672902 1.650740
2025-07-13 0.081275 0.109454 0.152382 0.228589 0.377783 0.715095 1.886103
2025-07-20 0.080017 0.108585 0.152673 0.232371 0.392773 0.772288 2.223384
2025-07-27 0.078202 0.106766 0.151308 0.233013 0.401209 0.814601 2.535815
2025-08-03 0.076039 0.104315 0.148772 0.231285 0.404293 0.843150 2.810739
2025-08-10 0.073865 0.101763 0.145947 0.228814 0.405454 0.866629 3.085229
2025-08-17 0.071347 0.098579 0.141925 0.223809 0.400364 0.870782 3.253335